Ethereum

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Price Rallies Amid Whale Activity and Spot ETF Anticipation

Market Trends

Over the past few weeks, Ethereum whales have played a major role in shaping the market after piling up more than 700,000 ETH worth around $2.45 billion, as highlighted by on-chain analyst Ali Martinez. This has occurred at a time that market conditions have been rather volatile and thus, there have been many liquidations.

Whales Accumulate Amid Market Volatility

Ethereum whales have been quite busy, buying more than 700,000 ETH in the last three weeks. This large amount of money, reaching almost $2.45 billion, has affected market conditions. The activity among these large holders has picked up at a time when market conditions have been quite volatile.

As noted by Coinglass, the recent market volatility resulted in $215 million in liquidations, 50% of which was due to ETH contracts amounting to $50.61 million. This forced liquidation of positions was triggered when the margin balances of the traders were not enough to hold their positions.

Price Swings and Realized Profits

There has been a lot of changes in the price of Ethereum in the recent past. ETH price fell to $3,368 on June 14 before rising to $3,512 and remaining above $3,500 at the time of writing. At the moment, ETH is trading at over $3,548, which has risen by 0.34% in the last day even as it fell by 2.96% in the past week. These price movements have been felt in both the long and short positions in the market.

Other on-chain metrics include changes in ETH’s realized profit, which is the total value of all coins that have been moved and sold at a price lower than the current market value. The realized profit for ETH was $55.18 million on June 12 and increased to $104.58 million by June 14. 

This increase may therefore be an indication of the holders taking profits which if the pressure is sustained may lead to a price drop. Nevertheless, if the profit taken hits the market at $3,400 – $3,600 levels, it might trade between this range in the coming days.

Self-Custody Trend and Exchange Liquidity

Data from Sentiment shows that the number of Ethereum addresses holding coins on exchanges has been decreasing in the last few days. The total amount of the Ethereum held by the top 100 wallets of exchanges is now 8.41 million, the lowest level since May 2018.

Conversely, the top 100 non-exchange wallets have reached an all-time high of 68.39 million ETH, indicating a rise in self-custody.

This is also in line with the principles of the blockchain, which seeks to establish a system of self-custody. However, this shift may reduce liquidity on exchanges, which could in turn result in increased price volatility. This means that price fluctuations will be more severe due to the limited number of coins in circulation.

Anticipation of Spot Ethereum ETFs

Traders are waiting for the decision of the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on the possibility of approving spot Ethereum ETFs. Experts believe that the listing of these ETFs may lead to a significant rise in the price of Ethereum.

Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas has set a new expected launch date for the spot Ethereum ETF to be July 2, 2024. Such approval of these financial instruments is expected to lead to more institutional investment in Ethereum, possibly pushing the prices towards $4,000 and above.

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